Modelling delays in breast, head and neck cancer pathways


30 Second Summary

The project uses DES to model post-diagnosis pathways for breast and head and neck cancer. It aims to identify delays and treatment variations across England, focusing on two key steps - time from neoadjuvant SACT to surgery or radiotherapy, and time from surgery to first adjuvant treatment.

Discrete Event Simulation (DES)
Cancer
Women's Health
Waiting Times
Authors
Affiliation

Michael Baser

NHS England

Laura Webster

NHS England

Lizzie Augarde

NHS England

Breast cancer and head and neck cancer are two common cancer sites, where the main clinical pathway is surgery, followed by adjuvant radiotherapy or chemotherapy. Clinical feedback has reported large waits after surgery and often before the point of referral to e.g. the radiotherapy department.

Our project is using Discrete Event Simulation to model the post-diagnosis pathway for breast and head and neck cancer. The model will be used to identify mid-pathway delays and treatment variation across England with the aim to report on two clinically important steps in the clinical pathway:

  1. time from neoadjuvant SACT to surgery or radiotherapy (RT)
  2. time from surgery to first adjuvant treatment (either RT or SACT)