Discrete Event Simulation modelling of Non-elective flow


30 Second Summary

Poor patient flow in Emergency Departments leads to long admission waits and poorer patient outcomes. Strategies include increasing beds and reducing discharge delays. This project uses Discrete Event Simulation to explore bed numbers, length of stay, and Same Day Emergency Care impacts on ED waits, aiming to optimise patient flow.

Discrete Event Simulation (DES)
Streamlit
Patient Flow
Emergency Departments
Same-day Emergency Care
Author
Affiliation

Helena Robinson

Countess of Chester Hospital NHS Foundation Trust

Poor patient flow is leading to long waits for admission in Emergency Departments. This means there is poor performance against all the key ED wait metrics for the hospital and more importantly, there is evidence that long waits for admission in ED are associated with poorer outcomes for patients.

The two main strategies employed to tackle this problem is

Additionally, with the Same Day Emergency Care (SDEC) facility, it is unclear how the number of people admitted through this facility impacts the waits of those in ED.

This projects aims to answer questions such as:

This project plans to create Discrete Event Simulation model(s), using HSMA training, to provide evidence for the questions above.

The team are also hoping to create a friendly user interface that stakeholders can try out scenarios and help understand how the model works.